0x2a2C...5461
Last updated Jul 13, 04:02 AM
Wallet Verdict
The Market Collected
$80K net loss from $6.6M of volume, with a 43.5% win rate across 200 trades, a 43% skill score, and a -1.2% return on volume.
The sample is established enough for the combined performance signals to carry meaningful weight.
- Skill
- 43%
- Confidence
- 3.7%
Win Rate
43.5%
Trades
200
Net P&L
−$80.0K
Total Vol
$6.6M
Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)
Based on 200 resolved trades (Beta(68, 91))
Cumulative Realized P&L
200 resolved positions
* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.
Win Rate Trend
Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 200 resolved trades total
Win Rate by Side
Gap: -18.4%
21 resolved positions
31 resolved positions
Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.
Active Positions
Open exposure and current market positions.
0–0
Resolved Trades (200)
Historical outcomes and realized performance.
1–10 of 200
Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?
Total P&L
+$10,534
Win / Loss
5W / 15L
Win Rate
25.0%
Avg Return
+526.7%
1–5 of 20
Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 20 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.