neurop...pany
Last updated Jul 23, 08:02 AM
Wallet Verdict
Low Hit Rate, Heavy Payoffs
$1K net profit from $3K of volume, with a 27.3% win rate across 11 trades, a 33% skill score, and a 41.6% return on volume.
Only 11 resolved trades are available, so repeatability remains highly uncertain.
- Skill
- 33%
- Confidence
- 5.3%
Win Rate
27.3%
Trades
11
Small Sample
Net P&L
+$1.1K
Total Vol
$2.6K
Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)
Based on 11 resolved trades (Beta(7, 14))
Cumulative Realized P&L
11 resolved positions
* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.
Win Rate Trend
Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 11 resolved trades total
Win Rate by Side
Gap: +30.0%
10 resolved positions
1 resolved position
Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.
Active Positions
Open exposure and current market positions.
0–0
Resolved Trades (11)
Historical outcomes and realized performance.
1–10 of 11
Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?
Total P&L
+$1,920
Win / Loss
3W / 8L
Win Rate
27.3%
Avg Return
+174.5%
1–5 of 11
Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 11 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.