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LUCKORSKILL
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0x2233...6289

Last updated Jul 13, 04:02 AM

Top activity:sportsworld-cup-winner
Inconclusive

Wallet Verdict

Ahead of the Market

$12K net profit from $307K of volume, with a 75.0% win rate across 8 trades, a 55% skill score, and a 3.8% return on volume.

Only 8 resolved trades are available, so repeatability remains highly uncertain.

Skill
55%
Confidence
67.8%
Share on X

Win Rate

75.0%

Trades

8

Small Sample

Net P&L

+$11.8K

Total Vol

$306.8K

Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)

Based on 8 resolved trades (Beta(10, 8))

Cumulative Realized P&L

8 resolved positions

* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.

Win Rate Trend

Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 8 resolved trades total

Win Rate by Side

Gap: -30.0%

Yes1W / 1L
50.0%

2 resolved positions

No4W / 1L
80.0%

5 resolved positions

Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.

Active Positions

Open exposure and current market positions.

0–0

No active positions

Resolved Trades (8)

Historical outcomes and realized performance.

1–8 of 8

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
BUYYES+$143
Shares200.0
Total Traded$56.60
Avg Price0.283
ClosedJul 10
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
BUYNO−$148
Shares200.0
Total Traded$148.29
Avg Price0.741
ClosedJul 10
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 5.5 Corners
BUYUNDER+$1
Shares1.7
Total Traded$0.69
Avg Price0.410
ClosedJul 9
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
BUYNO+$2.8K
Shares78,721.5
Total Traded$75,896.60
Avg Price0.964
ClosedJul 8
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
BUYNO+$3.8K
Shares127,877.2
Total Traded$124,098.04
Avg Price0.970
ClosedJul 7
Mexico leading at halftime?
BUYNO+$2.3K
Shares9,000.0
Total Traded$6,660.00
Avg Price0.740
ClosedJul 6
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
BUYNO+$4.2K
Shares102,756.6
Total Traded$98,527.65
Avg Price0.959
ClosedJul 6
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score
BUYYES−$1.4K
Shares2,728.2
Total Traded$1,391.37
Avg Price0.510
ClosedJul 3

Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?

$

Total P&L

+$243

Win / Loss

6W / 2L

Win Rate

75.0%

Avg Return

+30.4%

1–5 of 8

#1Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Jul 10, 2026 @ 28.3¢
+$253
BUYYES+253.4%
#2Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Jul 10, 2026 @ 74.1¢
$100
BUYNO-100.0%
#3France vs. Morocco: France O/U 5.5 Corners
Jul 9, 2026 @ 41.0¢
+$144
BUYUNDER+143.9%
#4Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Jul 8, 2026 @ 96.4¢
+$4
BUYNO+3.7%
#5Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Jul 7, 2026 @ 97.0¢
+$3
BUYNO+3.0%

Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 8 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.