gandalf
Last updated Jul 18, 10:15 AM
Wallet Verdict
Ahead of the Market
$3K net profit from $13K of volume, with a 76.9% win rate across 13 trades, a 51% skill score, and a 24.2% return on volume.
Only 13 resolved trades are available, so repeatability remains highly uncertain.
- Skill
- 51%
- Confidence
- 51.6%
Win Rate
76.9%
Trades
13
Small Sample
Net P&L
+$3.2K
Total Vol
$13.1K
Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)
Based on 13 resolved trades (Beta(7, 7))
Cumulative Realized P&L
13 resolved positions
* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.
Win Rate Trend
Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 13 resolved trades total
Win Rate by Side
Gap: +90.9%
11 resolved positions
2 resolved positions
Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.
Active Positions
Open exposure and current market positions.
0–0
Resolved Trades (13)
Historical outcomes and realized performance.
1–10 of 13
Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?
Total P&L
+$143,021
Win / Loss
10W / 3L
Win Rate
76.9%
Avg Return
+11001.6%
1–5 of 13
Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 13 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.