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lemov

Last updated Jul 13, 04:02 AM

Top activity:cryptowho-will-get-engaged-in-love-is-blind-season-10
Skilled

Wallet Verdict

Proven Edge

$218 net profit from $2K of volume, with a 91.4% win rate across 70 trades, a 83% skill score, and a 9.2% return on volume.

The sample is established enough for the combined performance signals to carry meaningful weight.

Skill
83%
Confidence
>99.9%
Share on X

Win Rate

91.4%

Trades

70

Net P&L

+$218

Total Vol

$2.4K

Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)

Based on 70 resolved trades (Beta(46, 9))

Cumulative Realized P&L

70 resolved positions

* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.

Win Rate Trend

Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 70 resolved trades total

Win Rate by Side

Gap: +2.4%

Yes14W / 1L
93.3%

15 resolved positions

No50W / 5L
90.9%

55 resolved positions

Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.

Active Positions

Open exposure and current market positions.

0–0

No active positions

Resolved Trades (70)

Historical outcomes and realized performance.

1–10 of 70

Will Miguel Lopez get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?
BUYNO−$121
Shares135.0
Total Traded$120.87
Avg Price0.895
ClosedJun 30
Will Kevan Jones get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?
BUYNO+$8
Shares82.0
Total Traded$73.55
Avg Price0.897
ClosedJun 9
Will the New Orleans Pelicans have the worst record in the NBA?
BUYNO+$2
Shares45.0
Total Traded$42.93
Avg Price0.954
ClosedJun 9
Will Mary Patterson be the Democratic Nominee for NC-04?
BUYNO+$2
Shares45.0
Total Traded$42.93
Avg Price0.954
ClosedJun 9
Will Mia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
BUYNO+$1
Shares45.0
Total Traded$44.10
Avg Price0.980
ClosedJun 9
Will Stacy Garrity win the 2026 Pennsylvania Governor Republican primary election?
BUYYES+$2
Shares10.0
Total Traded$8.46
Avg Price0.846
ClosedJun 9
Will Paris St-Germain finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?
BUYYES+$2
Shares32.0
Total Traded$30.08
Avg Price0.940
ClosedJun 9
Will Trump sue Powell by March 31?
BUYNO+$1
Shares10.5
Total Traded$9.38
Avg Price0.893
ClosedJun 9
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?
BUYNO+$1
Shares45.0
Total Traded$44.33
Avg Price0.985
ClosedJun 9
Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?
BUYNO+$21
Shares45.0
Total Traded$23.90
Avg Price0.531
ClosedJun 9

Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?

$

Total P&L

+$308

Win / Loss

19W / 1L

Win Rate

95.0%

Avg Return

+15.4%

1–5 of 20

#1Will Miguel Lopez get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?
Jun 30, 2026 @ 89.5¢
$100
BUYNO-100.0%
#2Will Kevan Jones get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?
Jun 9, 2026 @ 89.7¢
+$11
BUYNO+11.5%
#3Will the New Orleans Pelicans have the worst record in the NBA?
Jun 9, 2026 @ 95.4¢
+$5
BUYNO+4.8%
#4Will Mary Patterson be the Democratic Nominee for NC-04?
Jun 9, 2026 @ 95.4¢
+$5
BUYNO+4.8%
#5Will Mia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
Jun 9, 2026 @ 98.0¢
+$2
BUYNO+2.0%

Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 20 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.