bluepalla
Last updated Jul 18, 10:15 AM
Wallet Verdict
Ahead of the Market
$8K net profit from $8K of volume, with a 100.0% win rate across 9 trades, a 58% skill score, and a 99.3% return on volume.
Only 9 resolved trades are available, so repeatability remains highly uncertain.
- Skill
- 58%
- Confidence
- 73.9%
Win Rate
100.0%
Trades
9
Small Sample
Net P&L
+$7.7K
Total Vol
$7.7K
Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)
Based on 9 resolved trades (Beta(8, 6))
Cumulative Realized P&L
9 resolved positions
* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.
Win Rate Trend
Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 9 resolved trades total
Win Rate by Side
9 resolved positions
Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.
Active Positions
Open exposure and current market positions.
0–0
Resolved Trades (9)
Historical outcomes and realized performance.
1–9 of 9
Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?
Total P&L
+$899,100
Win / Loss
9W / 0L
Win Rate
100.0%
Avg Return
+99900.0%
1–5 of 9
Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 9 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.