Jewgga
Last updated Jul 13, 04:02 AM
Wallet Verdict
The Market Collected
$35K net loss from $55K of volume, with a 14.3% win rate across 21 trades, a 22% skill score, and a -62.9% return on volume.
The record is promising, but the sample is still developing.
- Skill
- 22%
- Confidence
- 0.1%
Win Rate
14.3%
Trades
21
Medium Sample
Net P&L
−$34.7K
Total Vol
$55.3K
Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)
Based on 21 resolved trades (Beta(6, 21))
Cumulative Realized P&L
Most activity concentrated recently — trend may not reflect long-term performance.
21 resolved positions
* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.
Win Rate Trend
Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 21 resolved trades total
Win Rate by Side
16 resolved positions
Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.
Active Positions
Open exposure and current market positions.
0–0
Resolved Trades (21)
Historical outcomes and realized performance.
1–10 of 21
Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?
Total P&L
$1,055
Win / Loss
3W / 17L
Win Rate
15.0%
Avg Return
-52.7%
1–5 of 20
Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 20 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.