etar
Last updated Jul 18, 10:15 AM
Wallet Verdict
Ahead of the Market
$80 net profit from $4K of volume, with a 69.2% win rate across 13 trades, a 57% skill score, and a 2.1% return on volume.
Only 13 resolved trades are available, so repeatability remains highly uncertain.
- Skill
- 57%
- Confidence
- 74.2%
Win Rate
69.2%
Trades
13
Small Sample
Net P&L
+$80
Total Vol
$3.8K
Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)
Based on 13 resolved trades (Beta(12, 9))
Cumulative Realized P&L
13 resolved positions
* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.
Win Rate Trend
Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 13 resolved trades total
Win Rate by Side
13 resolved positions
Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.
Active Positions
Open exposure and current market positions.
0–0
Resolved Trades (13)
Historical outcomes and realized performance.
1–10 of 13
Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?
Total P&L
+$110,594
Win / Loss
9W / 4L
Win Rate
69.2%
Avg Return
+8507.3%
1–5 of 13
Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 13 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.