LEONID...1983
Last updated Jul 15, 10:02 PM
Wallet Verdict
Ahead of the Market
$5K net profit from $983K of volume, with a 61.3% win rate across 199 trades, a 60% skill score, and a 0.6% return on volume.
The sample is established enough for the combined performance signals to carry meaningful weight.
- Skill
- 60%
- Confidence
- 99.7%
Win Rate
61.3%
Trades
199
Net P&L
+$5.4K
Total Vol
$982.7K
Win Rate Distribution (Posterior)
Based on 199 resolved trades (Beta(114, 76))
Cumulative Realized P&L
199 resolved positions
* Resolved P&L only. Polymarket includes active-position value, so results may differ.
Win Rate Trend
Rolling 25-trade win rate window · 199 resolved trades total
Win Rate by Side
Gap: +3.1%
30 resolved positions
34 resolved positions
Win rate = wins ÷ decided positions. Bars compare 50% baseline.
Active Positions
Open exposure and current market positions.
0–0
Resolved Trades (199)
Historical outcomes and realized performance.
1–10 of 199
Copy SimulationHypotheticalWhat if you copied these trades?
Total P&L
+$540
Win / Loss
11W / 9L
Win Rate
55.0%
Avg Return
+27.0%
1–5 of 20
Simulated at the trader's average entry price and entry time with a $100 stake on each of the last 20 resolved trades. Hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Methodology: Bayesian scores and P&L are evaluated on a maximum of the 200 most recent closed positions per wallet due to exchange API limitations.